Week 5 Rankings

by talonk on Oct 3, 2011 1:45 AM EDT

Another week in the books, and the rankings have been updated. Again, this is not my opinion (if it was I'd have Wisconsin much much higher).

The Big12 and SEC look very deep so far, eight and seven teams respectively in the Top 40. The B1G is next with six. Clemson has not crumbled like they usually do … so far, still a bit of the season to go.

A few notes: To offset the disparity of games played so far, any team with only 3 games gets a 0.5 boost (they haven’t won or lost that fourth game yet). Once the season gets to the seventh or eighth week, that bonus will be dropped as 75+% teams will be on the same footing.

Definitions: Team … W/L (both self-explanatory) … +-/ - movement from last week … Score – If the number is positive (ie higher than the win total) this school has played a tough schedule. Usually, early in the season, less than 20 teams in the Top 60 have positive numbers. This is mainly due to weak OOC schedules, including FCS schools. If the number is negative, it is subtracted from the win total. So if it is a 5 win team that has a score of 4.3, then they have played a fairly weak schedule, and if their number is below 4.0, they have played a bad schedule so far.

As an FYI, Ohio St is currently #67 with a score of 2.280.

Onto the list …..

	School	W/L	Score	+/-	Comment
1	Alabama	5-0	5.330	+4	Road win in the swamp propels them up to the top; Vandy shouldn’t drop them much, if at all.
2	Clemson	5-0	5.270	+6	Excellent results from the gauntlet; BC won’t help their overall number though.
3	Michigan	5-0	5.080	-1	1st road trip will show if they deserve this high of a ranking.
4	Texas	4-0	4.610	+4	Winner of the annual Oklahoma game will move up close to number one.
5	LSU	5-0	4.560	+2	Defense has looked good. Another tough game with the Gators this week.
6	Oklahoma	4-0	4.555	+8	Will Texas derail them this week?
7	Boise St	4-0	4.495	+8	Last of the WAC friends, Fresno St is next, but they will not move up unless everyone above loses as their schedule will continue to slowly drag them down.
8	Oklahoma St	4-0	4.425	-7	Will they stay unbeaten until the finale against Oklahoma?
9	Illinois	5-0	4.390	+3	Indiana game won’t help their ranking at all next week.
10	Georgia Tech	5-0	4.170	+1	With the VA Tech loss, their chances for a ACC title game increased mightily.
10	Stanford	4-0	4.170	+13	Should be unbeaten until the Oregon matchup.
12	West Virginia	4-1	4.160	+7	UConn looks hopeless this year.
13	Auburn	4-1	4.100	+13	Second consecutive road game in the SEC could be daunting.
14	North Carolina	4-1	3.990	+3	Louisville should not be much of a test.
15	South Carolina	4-1	3.970	-12	Surprising loss to Auburn; doubt they falter with Kentucky.
16	South Florida	4-1	3.920	-11	Surprising loss to Pitt hurts. Next game @UConn won’t help either.
17	Nebraska	4-1	3.880	-11	The Buckeyes probably won’t be much of a challenge this week.
18	Wisconsin	5-0	3.830	+17	Not sure they want a week off at this point, they are rolling.
19	Florida	4-1	3.800	-6	Roadie at LSU will not be a fun trip.
20	Virginia Tech	4-1	3.770	-11	Will try to get back on track with the Hurricanes.
21	Washington	4-1	3.745	+7	Colorado up next after the bye.
22	Penn St	4-1	3.710	-1	If the Indiana game is a good barometer, Iowa should thrash them.
23	Notre Dame	3-2	3.640	+8	The first of the academies on the schedule, Air Force is next.
24	Houston	5-0	3.630	+3	Gave up a lot of points at UTEP; East Carolina is next.
25	Texas Tech	4-0	3.510	+10	If the last two weeks are any indication; they will make up 17+ points in the 2nd half to beat A&M.
26	Arizona St	4-1	3.500	-1	Two rough road games up next, Utah and Oregon.
27	USC	4-1	3.490	-5	Sneaky bear are up next after the bye.
28	Kansas St	4-0	3.425	+13	Surprising start, Mizzou is up next.
29	Iowa St	3-1	3.420	-13	If the Texas game is any indication, RGIII will light them up.
30	Rutgers	3-1	3.370	+24	Excellent start so far; Panthers are up next.
31	Michigan St	4-1	3.320	+29	Bye week to prepare for the improved Wolverines.
32	Arkansas	4-1	3.310	+15	Bet the over in the Auburn game.
32	LA-Lafayette	4-1	3.310	-8	Battle with conference favorite, Troy is next.
34	San Diego St	3-1	3.260	-1	A week off to prep for TCU; they may slide down until that game
34	Ohio U	4-1	3.230	+14	Buffalo should not be much of a challenge this week.
36	SMU	4-1	3.180	+9	Surprising win at TCU last week moves them up.
37	Georgia	3-2	3.090	+14	Two road games on tap before the Cocktail party.
38	Baylor	3-1	3.040	-18	Tough loss last week; Cyclones on deck.
39	Texas A&M	2-2	2.940	-10	Another loss will drop them out.
39	Oregon	3-1	2.940	-7	Next two games will help their profile.

Dropped from Top 40 this week: FIU, Vanderbilt, Wyoming, Utah, Syracuse, California, Tennessee

As of right now, the conferences are ranked as follows (1.25 is the highest, 0.75 is the worst): Big12 (1.25), ACC (1.13), BigEast (1.11), B1G (1.10), SEC (1.09), Pac12 (1.07), MWC (0.99), MAC (0.90), CUSA (0.89), SunBelt (0.80), WAC (0.75).

And now the bottom 20 ….

	School	W/L	Score	+/-	Comment
101	Central Michigan	2-3	1.190	+9	MAC is improved this year, will see if Central can move up.
102	Colorado St	3-2	1.180	-18	Lowest ranking 3 win team.
102	Middle Tenn St	1-3	1.180	+1	Western Kentucky should get them out of bottom 20.
104	UConn	2-3	0.960	-19	Very possible first to worst finish.
105	LA-Monroe	1-3	0.950	+3	SunBelt schedule starts this week.
106	Colorado	1-4	0.945	-8	Not sure where I see another win this year.
107	Minnesota	1-4	0.880	+10	Purdue is their last shot at a W this year.
108	Tulane	2-3	0.835	-8	Orangemen are next.
109	LA Tech	1-4	0.830	-4	The race for worst conference will be between the WAC and the Sun Belt.
110	Indiana	1-4	0.800	-4	I honestly can’t see them winning another game.
111	Oregon St	0-4	0.540	+2	Could sneak one from the fiery Stoops.
112	Memphis	1-4	0.380	-3	Owls from Rice are next.
113	Akron	1-4	0.325	-1	FIU is no pushover this year.
114	Buffalo	1-4	0.270	+1	Bobcats should cream them as well.
115	Idaho	1-4	0.240	-11	Tough loss at Virginia; LA Tech is next.
116	Miami OH	0-4	0.185	+3	They stil have a shot at a few Ws; all 1-4 MAC teams are upcoming.
117	Boston College	1-3	0.170	-1	Clemson should clock them.
118	UAB	0-4	0.060	-7	Upset an SEC team this week? Not likely.
119	Western Kentucky	0-4	-.010	-1	Can they escape the bottom 5 this year?
120	New Mexico	0-5	-.120	0	Coach is gone; and most likely any hope of a W is too.

Graduated from Bottom 20: UNLV, NC St, Ole Miss, New Mexico St.

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Comments

Well, we’re not New Mexico.

by Tyler T. on Oct 3, 2011 4:22 AM EDT reply actions

Not quite, but we are hanging around the likes Ark St, Maryland, Temple, Nevada, and San Jose St …. Ugly!!

by talonk on Oct 3, 2011 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions

Realized, I forgot to post the B1G like I did last week …

1. Michigan, #3, 5-0, 5.080
2. Illinois, #9, 5-0, 4.390
3. Nebraska #17 4-1, 3.880
4. Wisconsin #18, 5-0 3.830
5. Penn St #22, 4-1, 3.710
6.Mich St #31, 4-1, 3.320
7. Iowa #41, 3-1, 2.930
8. Ohio St #67, 3-2, 2.280
9. Purdue #85, 2-2, 1.700
10. Northwestern #85, 2-2, 1.700
11. Minnesota, #107, 1-4, 0.880
12. Indiana, #110, 1-4, 0.800

by talonk on Oct 3, 2011 9:57 AM EDT reply actions