Week 11 Rankings

by talonk on Nov 14, 2011 4:11 PM EST

And with Week 11 finished, I am now 99.9% certain the B1G will only receive their Rose Bowl bid and nothing more. Sadly, the blocked extra point, all but guarantees a Wisconsin/Michigan St rematch in the inaugural B1G Championship Game. Congrats to both schools.

And now chaos is almost assured for the National Championship Game as well. If Oklahoma St loses to Oklahoma, we will then have at least 6 schools all with 1 loss. Personally, I’ll hope for even more chaos with Arkansas knocking off LSU, Auburn knocking off Alabama, Notre Dame knocking off Stanford and USC knocking off Oregon. I will repeat an earlier statement I made a few weeks ago. College Football this season is way down. The quality of the teams at the top are not all that impressive. As good as LSU looks, I think they pale in comparison to the USC, Texas and even the Florida teams that won titles.

This week we have six Big 12 schools, seven B1G, six SEC, four Pac 12, six ACC, three CUSA, three Big East, two MWC, Notre Dame, one Sun Belt, one MAC and no WAC in the Top 40.

Based on strength of schedule, only 39 of the 120 teams have positive numbers so far. Currently I have Marshall with the toughest SOS and Hawaii with the easiest.

Onto the list …..

	School	W/L	Score	+/-	Comment
1	Oklahoma St	10-0	10.600	0	LSU narrowed the gap this week. The Oklahoma might be able to keep them on top.
2	LSU	10-0	10.590	0	Ole Miss game will not help. I’m not sure Arkansas game will boost them enough as Oklahoma is ranked higher.
3	Alabama	9-1	9.370	+1	Will slide behind Oklahoma with FCS Georgia St on tap.
4	Oklahoma	8-1	9.020	-1	Road game with the electric RGIII next.
5	Virginia Tech	9-1	8.785	+4	Will be interesting to see if they stay ahead of Clemson. NC and Virginia are decent enough.
6	Clemson	9-1	8.730	+1	NC St game will not help the totals this week.
7	Oregon	9-1	8.620	+7	Might pass both ACC teams with USC game, but Oregon St game will bring them back as well.
8	Stanford	9-1	8.280	-3	National title game hopes dashed. BCS bowl game still a good possibility.
9	Michigan	8-2	8.210	+7	A nice road win at Illinois. Huskers will be another tough game.
9	South Carolina	8-2	8.210	+4	Will drop with FCS Citadel next.
11	Kansas St	8-2	8.150	-+4	Battle with Longhorns this week.
11	Arkansas	9-1	8.150	+1	Miss St game will not boost or drop them too much.
13	Houston	10-0	8.100	-5	SMU and Tulsa will actually help their numbers.
14	Boise St	8-1	8.050	-8	Costly loss with TCU. Final three games will all drag them down even further.
15	Nebraska	8-2	7.980	+4	Game of the week in B1G at Michigan.
16	USC	8-2	7.930	+2	A victory over Ducks will help Stanford a lot.
17	Southern Miss	9-1	7.840	-4	An 11-1 finish might not be enough to keep them in the Top 25 with UAB and Memphis up next.
18	Penn St	8-2	7.815	-8	Two tough road games to finish the year.
19	Georgia	8-2	7.800	+2	Lowly Kentucky is next.
20	Michigan St	8-2	7.665	-4	Impressive road win. Lowly Hoosiers will drop them a few next week.
21	Notre Dame	7-3	7.450	+1	Tour of the ACC finishes with Boston College.
22	TCU	8-2	7.310	+5	All the AQ schools Say Thank You!
23	Tulsa	7-3	7.100	+1	UTEP is next before high flying Cougars visit.
24	Arkansas St	8-2	6.990	+8	Probable Sun Belt champ. Last two games will slide tem back.
25	Wisconsin	8-2	6.855	+1	Illinois and Penn St will help their numbers provided they win.
26	Auburn	6-4	6.800	-3	FCS Samford will drop them into the 30s.
27	West Virginia	7-3	6.650	+9	Still hoping for another Cincy loss.
28	Texas	6-3	6.540	-11	Another tough game with Wildcats up next.
29	Baylor	6-3	6.370	+4	High octane Sooners pay a visit.
30	Washington	6-4	6.365	-2	Utah might be their best win.
31	Rutgers	7-3	6.360	+8	If they beat Cincy this week, the Big East becomes a huge mess at the top.
32	GA Tech	7-3	6.250	-3	Lowly Duke is next before rivalry game with Georgia.
33	North Carolina	6-4	6.220	+5	VA Tech should knock them out of the Top 40.
34	Texas A&M	5-5	6.190	-9	Cellar dweller Kansas is next.
35	Illinois	6-4	6.085	-5	Wisconsin should continue their freefall.
36	Florida St	7-3	5.880	+14	Interesting game with Cavaliers is next.
37	Cincinnati	7-2	5.850	-2	Margin for BCS bid is now razor thin.
38	Virginia	7-3	5.710	+7	Loser of Fla St game will drop out of Top 40.
39	Toledo	6-4	5.700	+4	This offense is rolling right now. The defense, not so much.
40	Ohio St	6-4	5.665	-6	Blocked extra point knocks them out of the division race.

Dropped from Top 40 this week: Arizona St, SMU, UCLA

As of right now, the conference multiplication factor as follows (1.25 is the highest, 0.75 is the worst): Big12 (1.25), SEC (1.15), ACC (1.10), Pac12 (1.08), B1G (1.08), BigEast (1.07), MWC (0.97), CUSA (0.90), MAC (0.87), SunBelt (0.78), WAC (0.75).

After all 120 teams are ranked, and averaging the teams in each conference, the conferences are ranked as follows:

Big12 (6.660), SEC (6.449), B1G (5.740), ACC (5.356), Pac12 (5.196), BigEast (5.103), CUSA (4.190), MWC (3.998), MAC (3.633), SunBelt (3.531), WAC (2.974)

And now the bottom 20 ….

	School	W/L	Score	+/-	Comment
101	Ole Miss	2-8	2.310	-4	Losing to LA Tech will drop you into the bottom.
102	San Jose St	3-7	2.220	-10	Midshipmen pay a visit this week.
103	Fresno St	3-7	2.155	-5	Hope the road trip to Hawaii is nice.
104	Oregon St	2-8	1.950	-4	Will be tough to escape the bottom 20 with Washington and Oregon next.
105	Army	3-7	1.870	0	Temple Owls are next.
106	Troy	2-7	1.740	-3	Winless FAU is next.
107	Colorado	2-9	1.500	+3	Nice W. Two road games to finish season.
108	Buffalo	2-8	1.460	+1	Pillow fight with Akron this week.
108	Central Michigan	3-8	1.460	+3	First team to complete their season with scorching Toledo visiting.
110	Indiana	1-9	1.320	+7	Week off won’t help with Spartan game next.
111	UAB	2-8	1.230	+4	Southern miss should win easily.
112	UNLV	2-7	1.080	-8	Losing to New Mexico is inexcusable.
113	Colorado St	3-6	1.040	-1	TCU should also win easily.
114	Middle Tenn St	2-7	0.860	-7	Sun Belt leading Arkansas St is next.
114	Idaho	2-8	0.860	-1	Utah St pays a visit.
116	FAU	0-9	0.665	0	Last winless team in FBS.
117	New Mexico	1-9	0.490	+2	Enjoy the W. Last two games are on the road.
118	Memphis	2-8	0.115	-4	Marshall is next.
119	Akron	1-9	-.010	-1	Road trip to Buffalo this week.
120	Tulane	2-9	-.460	0	Pillow fight with Rice on tap.

Graduated from Bottom 20: LA-Monroe, New Mexico St, Boston College, Utah St

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B1G Rankings for Week 11

1. Michigan 8-2, 8.210; #9; +7
2. Nebraska 8-2, 7.980; #15; +4
3. Penn St 8-2, 7.815; #18 ; -8
4. Mich St 8-2, 7.665; #20; 0
5. Wisconsin 8-2, 6.855; #25; +1
6. Illinois 6-4 6.085; #35; -5
7. Ohio St 6-4, 5.665; #40; -6
8. Iowa 6-4, 5.350; #50 -3
9. Purdue 5-5; 4.850; #64; +6
10. N’western 5-5, 4.115; #79; +6
11. Minnesota 2-8; 2.975; #90; +3
12. Indiana 1-9, 1.320; #110; +7

by talonk on Nov 14, 2011 4:19 PM EST reply actions