Week 12 Rankings

by talonk on Nov 21, 2011 1:22 AM EST

Well, Week 12 sure was a snoozer ….. not. Holy moly upset Batman. #1, 3, 5, and 6 on this sheet took a tumble this week. And plenty of other went down in the 20s and 30s as well. Crazy, crazy week. And we are now almost assured of a LSU/Bama rematch as the top contenders, Okie St, Oregon and Oklahoma all took a tumble.

One other note about this weekend. I will not diss LSU or Arkansas as they won games they were supposed to. But what the hell happened to the rest of the SEC this week? Bama did win, but was only up 24-14 to Georgia Southern at the half (FYI, GA SO is a top FCS school). But they were not the only SEC team to struggle with FCS schools this week. South Carolina pulled away, but was only up 20-13 at the half to a 4-6 Citadel who was also dealing with off the field issues. Auburn was only up 21-13 to 6-4 Samford after 3 quarters. And Florida was only up 37-31 to 6-4 Furman after 3 as well (losing 22-7 after the 1st quarter). If this happened in the B1G, every pundit from ESPN, CBS and SI would be absolutely lambasting the B1G conference. And SEC champ Georgia looked pretty pathetic with the second worst team in the SEC, Kentucky this week. But I suspect we will not hear one bad word because LSU and Bama are destined for a NC rematch right now.

While the teams look to be situated pretty well right now, there are a number of top teams that still have an extra game to play. There will still be some movement these next two weeks with this list.

This week we have seven Big 12 schools, seven B1G, six SEC, four Pac 12, five ACC, three CUSA, two Big East, two MWC, Notre Dame, two Sun Belt, one MAC and no WAC in the Top 40.

Based on strength of schedule, only 38 of the 120 teams have positive numbers so far. Currently I have Kansas with the toughest SOS and Hawaii with the easiest.

Onto the list …..

	School	W/L	Score	+/-	Comment
1	LSU	11-0	11.090	+1	Not a surprise who is #1. Arkansas will only help cement this spot. However, Arkansas can score points, so this should be a tough matchup this week.
2	Oklahoma St	10-1	10.840	-1	Everyone thought it would be the Bedlam game that did them in. Not so fast. Oklahoma will give them a boost in numbers, but not enough to move back up.
3	Alabama	10-1	10.180	0	Auburn is licking their chops to derail their BCS shot. Georgia Southern actually rushed very well against them this week.
4	Virginia Tech	10-1	9.985	+1	The Virginia game actually means something for both teams for the first time in a long while.
5	Houston	11-0	9.545	+8	All the upsets really gave them a boost this week. Division title on the line at Tulsa this week.
6	Michigan	9-2	9.445	+3	I had little faith in this team early this year. But they have looked like Michigan of old. Buckeyes try to spoil their BCS shot.
7	Kansas St	9-2	9.340	+4	Impressive win over the Longhorns. Surprising Cyclones are next up after a bye.
8	Stanford	10-1	9.220	0	Oregon’s loss moves them back up. Notre Dame pays a visit this week. They could end up in the Top 5.
9	Boise St	9-1	9.190	+5	They have to be broken hearted with all the upsets this week, because they would have had their title shot but for a missed FG.
10	Arkansas	10-1	9.140	+1	Weak nonconference has them down this far. LSU Tigers will be a tough game to pull out.
11	USC	9-2	9.130	+5	Should not have let Oregon climb back into that game. They try to spoil the Bruins CG shot.
12	Oklahoma	8-2	8.920	-8	Who knew a called timeout would cost them that game. Surprising Cyclones are next up.
13	South Carolina	9-2	8.825	-4	Struggle with Citadel does not bode well with Clemson coming to town.
14	Oregon	9-2	8.790	-7	Still should win the Pac12 North, but will Oregon St pull another shocker?
15	Penn St	9-2	8.775	+3	Battle in Madison to face the Spartans in CG.
16	Clemson	9-2	8.630	-10	Looks like they took the week off to prepare for SEC battle with South Carolina.
17	Georgia	9-2	8.530	+2	I think this is the most overrated 2 loss team. Road trip to GA Tech will define their season.
18	Notre Dame	8-3	8.370	+3	Were they looking ahead to the Stanford game this week? They looked lackluster against lowly BC.
19	Nebraska	8-3	8.250	-4	Did not play well in the Big House. Hawkeyes pay a visit this week.
20	Michigan St	9-2	8.140	0	Will their propensity to struggle on the road cost them against Northwestern?
21	TCU	9-2	8.110	+1	Lowly UNLV is all that’s left on the docket.
22	Southern Miss	9-2	8.025	-5	BCS dream over with the loss to UAB. Lowly Memphis is next.
23	Tulsa	8-3	7.990	0	Cougars come a calling with the division on the line.
24	Baylor	7-3	7.790	+5	Best season in a long, long while. Impressive win vs Oklahoma. Texas Tech is next.
25	Wisconsin	9-2	7.720	0	Penn St looks to be improved. But Badgers are very tough at home.
26	Arkansas St	9-2	7.590	-2	Sun Belt champs will slide a few more after playing Troy in 2 weeks.
27	Rutgers	8-3	7.420	+4	Five of the eight Big East teams all have 2 losses. Rutgers only has the cellar dwelling Huskies left.
28	Auburn	7-4	7.290	-2	All non-SEC conferences are rooting for them in the Iron Bowl. Although the struggle with Samford does not bode well.
29	GA Tech	8-3	7.030	+3	Struggled with Duke. Huge game with Gergia this week..
30	Texas A&M	6-5	6.940	+4	Final rivalry game with Texas is next.
31	North Carolina	6-5	6.905	+2	Duke is next up.
32	Texas	6-4	6.810	-4	Could finish 6-6 with roadies at A&M and Baylor.
33	Virginia	8-3	6.780	+5	Impressive season to date. Could be worst to first if they knock off the Hokies this week.
34	LA-Lafayette	8-3	6.650	+11	Road trip to the desert to face Arizona this week.
35	Utah	7-4	6.630	+7	Slow start to season, but have been playing much better lately. Finish with lowly Colorado.
36	Missouri	6-5	6.580	+5	They should bury Kansas like everyone else has.
37	West Virginia	7-3	6.530	-10	Back in the division race. Pitt is next in the Backyard brawl.
38	Iowa	7-4	6.490	+12	Trip to Nebraska will be a test with angry Huskers.
39	Northern Illinois	8-3	6.430	+14	Shhh, a MAC team cracked the Top 40.
40	Illinois	6-5	6.350	-5	Finish up with the lowly Gophers.

Dropped from Top 40 this week: Washington, Florida St, Cincinnati, Toledo, Ohio St

As of right now, the conference multiplication factor as follows (1.25 is the highest, 0.75 is the worst): Big12 (1.25), SEC (1.18), ACC (1.10), B1G (1.08), Pac12 (1.07), BigEast (1.07), MWC (0.96), CUSA (0.90), MAC (0.87), SunBelt (0.79), WAC (0.75).

After all 120 teams are ranked, and averaging the teams in each conference, the conferences are ranked as follows:

Big12 (7.181), SEC (7.003), B1G (6.283), ACC (5.911), Pac12 (5.678), BigEast (5.296), CUSA (4.805), MWC (4.483), MAC (4.085), SunBelt (4.037), WAC (3.434)

And now the bottom 20 ….

	School	W/L	Score	+/-	Comment
101	Boston College	3-8	2.720	-2	Finish with Miami Hurricanes.
102	New Mexico St	4-7	2.710	-4	League leading LA Tech is next.
103	Hawaii	5-6	2.680	-12	Worst schedule strength in FBS drops them this far.
104	Maryland	2-9	2.600	-7	Finish on the road at NC St.
105	Miami OH	4-7	2.520	-5	Ohio U Bobcats look to clinch division against them.
106	Troy	3-7	2.410	0	Finish on the road at Western Kentucky, Arkansas St.
107	Buffalo	3-8	2.025	+1	Bowling Green pays a visit.
108	Army	3-8	1.890	-3	Game with Navy with no bowl on the line for either.
109	Central Michigan	3-9	1.695	0	Season is finished.
110	Indiana	1-10	1.630	0	Look to keep Purdue from becoming bowl eligible.
111	Colorado St	3-7	1.490	+2	Air Force needs this game to become bowl eligible.
112	Middle Tenn St	2-8	1.260	+2	FIU looks to keep the misery going.
113	Colorado	2-10	1.230	-6	Transfer to Pac12 has been brutal.
114	Idaho	2-9	1.030	+1	Trip to Reno to complete season after a bye.
115	UNLV	2-8	0.940	-3	San Diego St is next.
116	New Mexico	1-10	0.420	+1	Bye this week, then they visit Boise St.
117	FAU	0-10	0.410	-1	Only two more chances to avoid being only winless school.
118	Memphis	2-9	0.325	0	Finish at division leading Southern Miss.
119	Akron	1-10	-.325	0	Finish with Western Michigan.
120	Tulane	2-10	-.375	0	Trip to the islands this week.

Graduated from Bottom 20: Ole Miss, San Jose St, Fresno St, Oregon St, UAB

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B1G Rankings for Week 12

1. Michigan 9-2, 9.445; #6; +3
2. Penn St 9-2, 8.775; #15 ; +3
3. Nebraska 8-3, 8.250; #19; -4
4. Mich St 9-2, 8.140; #20; 0
5. Wisconsin 9-2, 7.720; #25; 0
6. Iowa 7-4, 6.490; #38 +12
7. Illinois 6-5 6.350; #40; -5
8. Ohio St 6-5, 5.920; #51; -11
9. Purdue 5-6; 4.910; #72; -8
10. N’western 6-5, 4.790; #74; +5
11. Minnesota 2-9; 2.970; #96; -6
12. Indiana 1-10, 1.630; #110; 0

by talonk on Nov 21, 2011 1:31 AM EST reply actions