Week 10 Rankings

by talonk on Nov 7, 2011 2:15 AM EST

Well, I think we can most likely assure the B1G will not be getting an at large school this year. However, this may help come bowl season.

I personally was not that impressed with the LSU/Bama game. Was it a good game? For sure. Was it epic, heck no. In fact had that been Ohio State vs Wisconsin the past few years, the media would have shrugged it off as a boring B1G matchup. The more and more I look at this year, the SEC is reminding me of the B1G from 2006. Two dominant teams (LSU/Bama vs OSU/Michigan), another highly ranked team (Arkansas vs Wisconsin), and a couple other decent, but not great schools (South Carolina, Georgia, Auburn vs Penn St, Purdue). It will all come down to bowl season to see if history repeats.

This week we have six Big 12 schools, seven B1G, six SEC, six Pac 12, four ACC, four CUSA, three Big East, two MWC, Notre Dame, one Sun Belt, no MAC and no WAC in the Top 40.

Based on strength of schedule, only 35 of the 120 teams have positive numbers so far. Been a down year on the whole for CFB this year.

Onto the list …..

	School	W/L	Score	+/-	Comment
1	Oklahoma St	9-0	9.780	0	Not sure if they’ll be able to hold off LSU for the #1 spot much longer; roadie at Tex Tech this week.
2	LSU	9-0	9.640	0	Normally a game against Western Kentucky would cause a big drop, but not this season.
3	Oklahoma	8-1	8.900	+1	Decent jump to the Bama number; lowly but tough Cyclones next.
4	Alabama	8-1	8.380	-1	Road game at Miss St this week; will be tough to hold off Stanford with weaker finishing schedule.
5	Stanford	9-0	7.950	0	If they beat Oregon, they will make up some, but not all, of the distance to Oklahoma.
6	Boise St	8-0	7.720	0	TCU will help their numbers a bit this week.
7	Clemson	8-1	7.690	+5	Demon Deacons on tap.
8	Houston	9-0	7.610	+2	Lowly Tulane will knock them down a few spots.
9	Virginia Tech	8-1	7.510	-1	Yellow Jackets should help their numbers this week.
10	Penn St	8-1	7.480	+4	Last home game with Cornhuskers will be their stiffest test yet.
11	South Carolina	7-2	7.360	0	Will Gators finish their SEC East slide?
12	Arkansas	8-1	7.260	+7	Best hope to give LSU loss. Likely? I’d give them a 20% chance at pulling the upset.
13	Southern Miss	8-1	7.190	+5	If they beat UCF, I foresee a 11-1 finish.
14	Oregon	8-1	7.170	+2	Game of the year in Pac12 this year at Cardinal this week.
15	Kansas St	7-2	7.060	-2	Much better effort vs Cowboys; schizo Texas A&M next
16	Michigan	7-2	6.990	-9	A loss at Illinois and they easily could slide to 7-5.
17	Texas	6-2	6.890	+5	Road games at Mizzou this week.
18	USC	7-2	6.780	-3	Cougars should test the defense some.
19	Nebraska	7-2	6.720	-10	Game of the week in B1G at Penn St this week
20	Michigan St	7-2	6.650	-3	Will they fall to the Hawkeyes like the Wolverines?
21	Georgia	7-2	6.600	-1	Let’s see if they can finally get quality win #2 vs Auburn.
22	Notre Dame	6-3	6.540	+3	Lowly Terrapins are the next victim
22	Auburn	6-3	6.540	+4	Georgia game will determine if they get to 8 wins.
24	Tulsa	6-3	6.280	+6	Thundering Herd next up.
25	Texas A&M	5-4	6.100	-1	Reeling Kansas St is next.
26	Wisconsin	7-2	6.050	+6	Minnesota game will drop them a few spots
27	TCU	7-2	6.020	+11	AQ schools hoping for the upset vs Broncos.
28	Washington	6-3	5.920	-7	Last rough game vs Trojans this week.
29	GA Tech	7-2	5.900	+4	Shot at division title on the line this week.
29	Illinois	6-3	5.900	+10	Michigan visits; can Zook stop the freefall?.
31	Arizona St	6-3	5.770	-2	Shocking loss to Bruins makes them huge Trojan fans.
32	Arkansas St	7-2	5.760	+2	Conference title up for grabs vs LA-Lafayette this week.
33	Baylor	5-3	5.710	+12	Lowly Kansas will drop them a few spots.
34	Ohio St	6-3	5.700	-6	Boilermakers look to knock them out of the CG race.
35	Cincinnati	7-1	5.690	+8	Inside track to the Orange Bowl, but reeling West VA comes to visit.
36	West Virginia	6-3	5.650	-13	Tough road to conference title with loss to Louisville.
37	SMU	6-3	5.500	-1	Navy pays the Mustangs a visit this week.
38	North Carolina	6-4	5.410	-11	Bye week arrives a week too late.
39	Rutgers	6-3	5.310	+8	Neutral site game vs Army this week.
40	UCLA	5-4	5.300	+10	Will momentum carry on to Utah this week?

Dropped from Top 40 this week: Toledo, Texas Tech, Syracuse, Missouri

As of right now, the conference multiplication factor as follows (1.25 is the highest, 0.75 is the worst): Big12 (1.25), SEC (1.15), ACC (1.11), Pac12 (1.08), B1G (1.07), BigEast (1.07), MWC (0.94), CUSA (0.91), MAC (0.88), SunBelt (0.79), WAC (0.75).

After all 120 teams are ranked, and averaging the teams in each conference, the conferences are ranked as follows:

Big12 (6.199), SEC (5.874), B1G (5.060), ACC (4.812), Pac12 (4.850), BigEast (4.481), CUSA (3.861), MWC (3.525), MAC (3.185), SunBelt (3.082), WAC (2.681)

And now the bottom 20 ….

	School	W/L	Score	+/-	Comment
101	LA-Monroe	2-7	1.980	+3	Pillow fight with Middle Tennessee St this week
102	New Mexico St	3-7	1.820	-3	Reeling Fresno St visits this week.
103	Troy	2-6	1.750	-6	One of the most sever drop-offs from a year ago.
104	UNLV	2-6	1.510	+2	If they beat New Mexico, they could graduate.
104	Army	3-6	1.510	+1	Doubt they surprise Rutgers this week.
106	Boston College	2-7	1.450	-4	Do they have another shocker in them?
107	Middle Tenn St	2-6	1.230	+1	See above.
108	Utah St	2-6	1.190	+2	Shocker of a win at Hawaii last week.
109	Buffalo	2-7	1.140	+8	Next game vs surprising Eastern Michigan.
110	Colorado	1-9	1.110	+1	Best chance at another W with Wildcats visiting.
111	Central Michigan	3-7	1.080	-4	MAC leading Ohio U is next.
112	Colorado St	3-5	1.030	-3	Aztecs will bump them up a few spots.
113	Idaho	2-7	0.990	+1	Surprising win at Spartans; travel to Provo this week.
114	Memphis	2-7	0.830	+5	Pillow fight with UAB.
115	UAB	1-8	0.730	-3	See above.
116	FAU	0-8	0.610	-1	Rival FIU is next.
117	Indiana	1-9	0.420	+1	Hoosiers finally get a week off.
118	Akron	1-8	0.320	-5	Kent St is next.
119	New Mexico	0-9	-.190	-2	Good chance at going winless.
120	Tulane	2-8	-.740	0	Next sacrifice is for Houston.

Graduated from Bottom 20: UConn, Oregon St

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Comments

almost forgot to post the B1G standings for this week ….

1. Penn St 8-1, 7.480; #10 ; +4
2. Michigan 7-2, 6.990; #16; -8
3. Nebraska 7-2, 6.720; #19; -10
4. Mich St 7-2, 6.650; #20; -3
5. Wisconsin 7-2, 6.050; #26; +6
6. Illinois 6-3, 5.900; #30; +9
7. Ohio St 6-3, 5.700; #34; -6
8. Iowa 6-3, 4.910; #47 +22
9. Purdue 4-5; 4.050; #70; -1
10. N’western 4-5, 3.300; #85; +13
11. Minnesota 2-7; 2.550; #93; -6
12. Indiana 1-9, 0.420; #117; +1

by talonk on Nov 7, 2011 11:38 AM EST reply actions

Illinois above Ohio St.?

by cdmcmahon on Nov 10, 2011 9:33 PM EST up reply actions

Again, this is computational, not gut feel rankings. Illinois got a boost for losing to Penn St, the team with the best record in the B1G last week, while OSU got penalized somewhat for beating the worst team in the B1G. By the end of the season, I suspect OSU will inch ahead if they have the same number of wins since they have both Penn St and Michigan left. But I also suspect Illinois will lose more games than OSU by the end of the season, so it won’t be a big deal anyways.

by talonk on Nov 11, 2011 1:01 AM EST up reply actions

Great work!

by biggy84 on Nov 8, 2011 1:18 PM EST reply actions

As much as I hated that Bama/LSU game yawn it did convince me that beating them in the National Championship will be a tall order.
Lotta friends like Ok State, but I think they’re too sexy and not enough “meat and potatoes” to hang with the Tigers. Stanford? We’ve gone back and forth about that before. I think physically they match up the best.

I know these are computational, but here’s my feel:
Penn State: It’s hard to think about football right now, but if I am to, I see them as a bit of a fake, and that was before all this hit. Nebraska rebounds big this weekend.

by Brutus89 on Nov 11, 2011 1:57 PM EST reply actions