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Ohio State Hopes to Be The Man

CLEVELAND, OH - MARCH 20:  Head coach Thad Matta of the Ohio State Buckeyes stands on the court with David Lighty #23 after defeating the George Mason Patriots during the third of the 2011 NCAA men's basketball tournament at Quicken Loans Arena on March 20, 2011 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

If I'm head basketball coach Thad Matta, right now about now I'm tempted to solicit as much advice from coaching legends as I can. Then again, perhaps the words of a wrestling icon will suffice.

"To be the man," W.W.E. Hall of Famer Ric Flair has famously remarked, "You've got to beat the man."

Usually about that time, he'd bellow out his patented "woo" which triggered an orchestrated echo from the boisterous crowd.

That cliché will do nothing to aid the Buckeyes in possible victory Friday night against No. 4-seed Kentucky during the regional semifinals of the NCAA Tournament in Newark, N.J. But it sure does ring true.

If Ohio State (34-2) were categorically assigned the "great" label by pundits, the Buckeyes have done, arguably, everything it could be reasonably expected to do this season. As a mere mortal, Ohio State has seemingly gone far beyond the call of duty. But even the 34 victories will feel hollow absent a National Championship.

Perhaps those seem like unfair expectations that have been bestowed upon the Buckeyes. But get used to it.

Earning a National Championship is something within the firm grasp of this club. Ohio State is graced with a complete blend of experience, chemistry, shooting, scoring, rebounding, defense, intelligence and just enough depth to keep their second wind.

Between Jared Sullinger and Dallas Lauderdale inside, Aaron Craft, Jon Diebler, William Buford and David Lighty practically alternating heroic efforts on the perimeter and DeShaun Thomas off the bench-affectionately called "tank" by his teammates-Ohio State is loaded for bear for such a mission.

Living up to such capability, however, can be monumentally difficult. This year will be no exception. Beginning with the Wildcats on Friday, the Buckeyes will be staring down the barrel of a gun loaded with tradition-and possibly history.

If the expected winners advance this weekend, as the seeds would dictate, Ohio State would have a road to the National Championship that would include Kentucky, North Carolina, Duke and Kansas. Provided Ohio State is not rerouted on a detour, the Buckeyes would encounter the top four programs in victories in NCAA Division I men's basketball history.

Star-divide

Exhale.

Collectively that's 7,942 wins, 165 trips to the NCAA Tournament, 59 Final Four appearances and 19 National Championship banners. Woo indeed. And in addition to flirting with programs responsible for such gaudy accomplishments, Ohio State could make a historic run for having the most difficult path to a National Championship.

Since expanding to 64 teams and beyond in 1986, North Carolina (1993) holds the distinction for most difficult tournament path for a National Champion by sum of opponents' seed (33). If Ohio State were to run this impressive gauntlet of national powerhouses, the 16-8-4-2-1-1 seed combination would set a 26-year record and would be the first time that a champion has faced the toughest path possible by seed.

Despite this possible brush with fame, Ohio State has no reason to be in awe.

Behind the aforementioned teams and UCLA, Ohio State is sixth all-time in Final Four appearances (10) and if they were to win a national championship this season-the school's second-then they would join only 14 other programs to win multiple titles. Further, in 2009, Jeff Sagarin in collaboration with ESPN, named Ohio State the No. 9-program all-time in a ranking of Division I programs.

Needless to say, this is all speculative. Any one of Kansas, Duke or North Carolina could falter. Ohio State could very well suffer their third and final defeat of the season to Kentucky on Friday. In fact, with at least a couple future NBA stars on Kentucky's roster, the Wildcats are no Sweet 16 picnic.

The regional semifinals rarely are a day at the beach. Ohio State learned this the hard way last season, falling to 6-seed Tennessee in St. Louis. In 1991, 20 years to yesterday, the Buckeyes fell as a No. 1-seed to 4-seed St. John's in Pontiac, Mich. by 17 points. So nothing is a given.

If Flair were in the squared circle, at least such an improbable if not virtually impossible run could be guided by the imagination of an ambitious creative team. But unfortunately for the Buckeyes, this made-for-TV movie won't be rigged in their favor.

Whether it's Big Blue, Power Blue, Duke Blue or the Crimson & Blue, Ohio State will have its' work cut out for it. It's almost certainly going to have to beat "the man."

Until the Buckeyes do that, or at this point it seems unless is the more apt term, doubters will remain. Nonetheless, there's not much else to doubt about this group.

In 9 years of data by KenPom.com, Ohio State is the second-most efficient offense on record-trailing only the 2005 North Carolina Tar Heel team that won a National Championship. Ohio State is certainly not lacking on defense, either, ranking No. 8 this season in adjusted defensive efficiency.

But the Buckeyes also are in good hands with Matta at the controls.

Now in his 11th season as a Division I head basketball coach, Matta is approaching 300 career wins (291 to be exact). But it's his career mark in March that is starting to make an impression.

While Matta is still searching for his first National Championship, and has a long way to go to join some of his peers in Final Four appearances, he's going to soon earn the title of Mr. March if he keeps up the pace. Currently, Matta owns a frightening 64-15 record on or after March 1 each season-a .810 winning percentage. Among all active coaches with at least 10 years experience that is the best.

Here are some other notable names and how Matta ranks (all records span entire Division I head coaching careers through March 20 and were compiled through data extracted from team media guides):

 

Thad Matta                 Ohio State                   64-15               .810

John Calipari               Kentucky                    109-34             .762

Bill Self                       Kansas                         77-24               .762

Roy Williams              North Carolina           128-42             .753

Mark Few                    Gonzaga                      42-15               .737

Rick Pitino                  Louisville                    106-41             .721

Mike Krzyzewski        Duke                           154-61             .716

Ben Howland              UCLA                         53-24               .688

Jim Calhoun                Connecticut                 131-62             .679

Tom Izzo                     Michigan St.                73-35               .676

Bob Huggins               West Virginia              92-46               .667

Jim Boeheim               Syracuse                      131-80             .621

Billy Donovan             Florida                         62-38               .620

Rick Barnes                 Texas                           79-56               .585

Gary Williams             Maryland                     78-64               .549

 

Interestingly, the top two men on this list-Matta and Calipari-will square off on Friday. Matta is 1-0 against Calipari, with Ohio State having beat Memphis in 2007 to earn a trip to the Final Four.

Undoubtedly, it seems anything less than a Final Four this season would leave a bitter taste on the collective tongues of Buckeye fans everywhere. It would also give ammunition to the critics that this Ohio State team wasn't that great after all.

Early twentieth-century philosopher George Santayana once remarked in his 1905 book, The Life of Reason: "those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it."

There's no forgetting the history of the teams standing in Ohio State's way. But knocking them out of the way would force Ohio State into the discussion of one of the better teams in the last several years.

Can they do it? We're about to find out.

They have the personnel dreams are made of. Also the possible schedule nightmares are made of.

But then again, Flair never said beating the man was easy.

Comment 25 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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If Kentucky were to run the gaunlet for the championship using your analogy

UK would have to go through the 13-5-1-2-1-1 in that order. A little stiffer competition then OSU’s route but still doable. Our average seed rating would be a 3.83 to your 5.33.

Good luck to each of us – we’ll both need it.

A man is nothing more than a summation of his scars!

by KansasUKCat on Mar 23, 2011 1:20 PM EDT reply actions  

That’s most certainly true, but using probability, the odds of that happening are statistically rather insignificant. Using Ken Pomeroy’s expected winning percentage (Log5 method), Kentucky has less than probably an 8% chance of merely advancing to the Final Four. So it’s probably <1% chance of winning it all. Ohio State is the favorite and has, right now, about a 62% chance of the Final Four and roughly 15-20% chance of winning.

I’m not saying that to downgrade Kentucky, but the odds of someone like Kentucky winning it all right now was not statistically worth pointing out lol

Kentucky is capable of playing Ohio State position-for-position for the most part. It has the chance to be a great game. If Ohio State plays the game it’s capable of, Ohio State will probably win. It’s a pretty darn good team, and IMHO one of the better ones this decade. Obviously though, being good on paper doesn’t mean they’ll win the games. This will be no exception. I anticipate Kentucky won’t make it easy on OSU.

by KyleSLamb on Mar 23, 2011 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Nice writeup.

I had no idea that OSU would have to go through a potential gauntlet to get the win. The in-laws are OSU fans, so my house will be divided tomorrow night. I hope it is a good game for all, and if UK loses, I hope you guys cut down the nets.

I would literally puke to see Puke cut them down again.

by UKlvrBM on Mar 24, 2011 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Kyle, well done, thank you. Actually, I look forward to these (hopeful) matchups. If we should win the national title, we’ve rolled through some pretty tough,traditional programs. All the more satisfying.

"I'm not a psychopath, Anderson, I'm a high-functioning sociopath. Do your research." - Sherlock Holmes

by KenK on Mar 23, 2011 3:13 PM EDT reply actions  

GOOD JOB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

BEST TEAM WINSSSSSS!!!!!!!!

Go CATTTTTTTTTTTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by oilliecat on Mar 23, 2011 3:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Actually, the best team does not always win, especially in the NCAA Tournament.

by Tyler T. on Mar 23, 2011 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

The best team that night always wins, and that’s all that matters. It’s a a huge reason why the NCAA tournament is so freaking awesome, the greatest post-season is college sports.

"I want my unwarranted optimism back." -Dilbert

by Simmsinns on Mar 23, 2011 8:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

No, it’s not all that matters. Sure, it’s a lot of fun, but if the goal was to determine the best team, the NCAA Tournament wouldn’t even exist. I’ll be very pleased if the Buckeyes can win the tournament, but it won’t make me think any less of this team if they falter. They are tremendously talented and have proved it over 36 games already.

by Tyler T. on Mar 23, 2011 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

but it won’t make me think any less of this team if they falter.

I disagree with this, and mostly dislike that sentiment. I’ll be proud of our guys for a great season, but will be massively disappointed without a championship, just as they will be. They, at least I hope, set out with one ultimate goal, championship.

Also, I think you approached my question kind of the wrong way, or I typed the wrong way. The best team that night always wins, and that’s all that matters (in the tournament, designed to decide a championship). I think it does a damn good job of deciding the NCAA division 1 college basketball champion, as opposed to say, a media poll or bowl system.

Do what it takes to win (basketball games) at the time it matters most (the tournament). My definition of “best” for college basketball is that team that can do that better than any other team. For me, “best” isn’t on paper, “best” is proven through winning 6 games against some of the hardest competition, and most pressure faced all year. The best teams on the court those nights win the games. The best team in the nation does it 6 times.

"I want my unwarranted optimism back." -Dilbert

by Simmsinns on Mar 24, 2011 12:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

Friend, you are forgetting the X Factor

I would put UK’s team last year right up there with this year’s OSU team. They didn’t shoot the ball as well, but had the necessary components and players. They went up against a team that never shoots well, and WVU shot lights out.

I am not saying I don’t love the NCAA Tourney, because I do. It’s just that the “best team” doesn’t always win. KU and UK were the best teams last year. Puke didn’t even deserve the one seed or the carved path to the title they received. WVU & NI took out the giants for the rest of the field. Duke cut down the nets.

I think that OSU is a superior team than UK this year. But, on any given night…..
You never know. Can they beat you, yes. Will they, who knows. I hope it is a good game and I look forward to either team cutting down nets.

It’s good to see OSU back in the spotlight like when they had Penn and Redd years back. Thad is a great coach. Best of luck.

by UKlvrBM on Mar 24, 2011 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would put UK’s team last year right up there with this year’s OSU team. They didn’t shoot the ball as well, but had the necessary components and players. They went up against a team that never shoots well, and WVU shot lights out.

It’s close— KenPom had 2010 Kentucky as the 15th most efficient offense and the 6th most efficient defense— but your point is a good one. It may have hurt Kentucky fans to lose in the tournament last season, but it really shouldn’t make them think any less of that team. They were good and proved it throughout the season.

by Tyler T. on Mar 24, 2011 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think less of the team.

Wall, Cousins, & Paterson especially will always be some of my favorite players and that team was very exciting to watch. I am sure you can say the same thing about Craft, Lighty, Diebler & Sullinger.

by UKlvrBM on Mar 24, 2011 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

I disagree with this, and mostly dislike that sentiment. I’ll be proud of our guys for a great season, but will be massively disappointed without a championship, just as they will be. They, at least I hope, set out with one ultimate goal, championship.

Well, every team every year sets out with the goal of winning a championship. But few teams put together a great season like Ohio State did, a season that’s meaningful because of a long string of great performances in a long string of games.

Will a championship in the NCAA Tournament make this season more special? That’s pretty undeniable. But I won’t think any less of this team and their ability if they falter before the final game.

Also, I think you approached my question kind of the wrong way, or I typed the wrong way. The best team that night always wins, and that’s all that matters (in the tournament, designed to decide a championship).

Does the best team always win when a game comes down to one shot? Even if it does, what’s the real difference between the two teams? One game sample sizes in a sport like college basketball don’t always reveal the best team, even that night. Sometimes it’s just the luckiest team.

For me, "best" isn’t on paper, "best" is proven through winning 6 games against some of the hardest competition, and most pressure faced all year. The best teams on the court those nights win the games. The best team in the nation does it 6 times.

But they’re not really the best team, then. They’re just the team that played well and became lucky during a small stretch of time. Ohio State’s total body of work to this point, both on paper and on the court, matter. A 32-game season has to matter to you, or you’re just reducing the regular season to a string of exhibition games, which is a criticism of the BCS system’s postseason.

by Tyler T. on Mar 24, 2011 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with you in a lot of ways TT.

Look at how many good teams that have lost in every tournament. The NCAA Tourney is great fun to watch, but it is ultimately a crap shoot. The regular season should matter a lot and that should be something the fans remember and appreciate, but nothing makes it sweeter than winning it all.

by UKlvrBM on Mar 24, 2011 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

But few teams put together a great season like Ohio State did, a season that’s meaningful because of a long string of great performances in a long string of games.

Will a championship in the NCAA Tournament make this season more special? That’s pretty undeniable.

Well said, I agree. But, I’d rather have a 10 loss season and a championship, than a 2 loss season and no championship.

Does the best team always win when a game comes down to one shot? Even if it does, what’s the real difference between the two teams? One game sample sizes in a sport like college basketball don’t always reveal the best team, even that night. Sometimes it’s just the luckiest team.

Luck is a part of every sport, sure basketball more so than most, but that’s part of the game. Better team are less reliant on luck.

But they’re not really the best team, then. They’re just the team that played well and became lucky during a small stretch of time. Ohio State’s total body of work to this point, both on paper and on the court, matter. A 32-game season has to matter to you, or you’re just reducing the regular season to a string of exhibition games, which is a criticism of the BCS system’s postseason.

I stand by what I said, but I’ll put it another way: For me, “CHAMPION” isn’t decided on paper, “CHAMPION” is proven through winning 6 games against some of the hardest competition, and most pressure faced all year. The best teams on the court those nights win the games. The CHAMPION does it 6 times. (Still, I like the word best, meaning the best at doing what it takes to win at the time it matters most.)

"I want my unwarranted optimism back." -Dilbert

by Simmsinns on Mar 24, 2011 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

For me, "CHAMPION" isn’t decided on paper, "CHAMPION" is proven through winning 6 games against some of the hardest competition, and most pressure faced all year.

What has been decided on paper? Everything Ohio State’s done has been on the court.

by Tyler T. on Mar 24, 2011 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

The paper comment is referring to how some TV analysts say things like “This is team is just so much better on paper, but…” Things like size, shooting percentage, rebounds, ect. are what I consider comparable on paper statistics.

I’m also not talking about OSU or any team, but rather how the tournament determines a champion.

"I want my unwarranted optimism back." -Dilbert

by Simmsinns on Mar 24, 2011 8:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Things like size, shooting percentage, rebounds, ect. are what I consider comparable on paper statistics.

The statistics cited by television analysts aren’t usually the best, because they often refer to counting stats, numbers essentially devoid of context or meaning easy to throw out quickly on a broadcast.

The Four Factors, efficiency measures, and other tempo-free statistics correlate to performance and reveal how teams are winning. Possession efficiency, in particular, is a really simple but useful way to measure a team’s success, and the Buckeyes should be proud of their historically good offensive efficiency ranking.

by Tyler T. on Mar 24, 2011 9:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

The statistics cited by television analysts aren’t usually the best, because they often refer to counting stats, numbers essentially devoid of context or meaning easy to throw out quickly on a broadcast.

Exactly. That’s why better teams are not decided “on paper” but rather on the court.

"I want my unwarranted optimism back." -Dilbert

by Simmsinns on Mar 25, 2011 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Matta is undervalued nationally and in the Ohio State fanbase. Obviously, football overshadows basketball to a large degree at Ohio State, but Matta’s not only been good, but prolifically good.

Thad Matta Ohio State 64-15 .810

John Calipari Kentucky 109-34 .762

Does Calipari’s figure include the vacated games at Memphis, Kyle? That would downgrade Calipari’s raw record and probably the winning percentage, as well.

by Tyler T. on Mar 23, 2011 10:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Naw, I didn’t bother removing vacated wins, though I probably should have. But I figured since I’m trying to gauge the production of coaches, it wouldn’t have been very telling to remove those games.

by KyleSLamb on Mar 24, 2011 1:56 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ah, Ric Flair.

I miss the days when wrestling was awesome.

Doug: "Why don't you tell him that your total salary last year was tweleve dollars?!?"

Arthur: "That was after taxes!!!"

by JakeBuckeye on Mar 23, 2011 11:12 PM EDT reply actions  

The Rock is hosting WrestleMania, there is still hope!

If there ever were a Rock/Shawn Michaels match I’d hyperventilate.

"Carrie, I can't go in there, I'm claustrophobic."
"Well, It's gonna' be a rough half hour for ya then."
-Doug Heffernan coming to grips with the cold reality of an MRI machine

by Jon Ross on Mar 24, 2011 12:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

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